Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.307041 0.357706 0.414264 0.482115 0.561356 0.651043 0.760356
2025-01-26 0.236818 0.306234 0.392274 0.506932 0.656032 0.843792 1.098914
2025-02-02 0.200062 0.277835 0.381395 0.529750 0.737530 1.019262 1.432154
2025-02-09 0.172978 0.254551 0.369688 0.544654 0.805036 1.180157 1.765232
2025-02-16 0.150322 0.232518 0.354503 0.549570 0.855524 1.320096 2.085023
2025-02-23 0.130763 0.211419 0.336579 0.546022 0.890295 1.438223 2.385311
2025-03-02 0.112510 0.189327 0.313433 0.529834 0.901009 1.517552 2.631474
2025-03-09 0.103375 0.180599 0.310170 0.545014 0.964292 1.689387 3.055416
2025-03-16 0.093394 0.168921 0.300163 0.546731 1.003644 1.824034 3.431107
2025-03-23 0.086170 0.161048 0.295544 0.556966 1.058822 1.992598 3.891005
2025-03-30 0.077086 0.148536 0.280896 0.546464 1.073395 2.087072 4.220961
2025-04-06 0.069788 0.138443 0.269424 0.540317 1.095053 2.196850 4.595032
2025-04-13 0.064116 0.130976 0.262378 0.542600 1.135071 2.350503 5.087255
2025-04-20 0.061674 0.129726 0.267491 0.570416 1.231681 2.632898 5.897122
2025-04-27 0.059194 0.128046 0.271444 0.596163 1.327115 2.925049 6.771624
2025-05-04 0.056103 0.124650 0.271337 0.612979 1.404986 3.188932 7.620678
2025-05-11 0.052375 0.119373 0.266507 0.618525 1.457887 3.403412 8.384824
2025-05-18 0.048303 0.112810 0.258027 0.614522 1.487818 3.568417 9.052724
2025-05-25 0.043663 0.104365 0.244271 0.596257 1.480985 3.644834 9.509143
2025-06-01 0.041801 0.102291 0.245081 0.613384 1.563671 3.950749 10.605733
2025-06-08 0.039155 0.097985 0.240056 0.615322 1.608080 4.166318 11.494379
2025-06-15 0.037285 0.095384 0.238872 0.626870 1.678941 4.459242 12.639733
2025-06-22 0.034324 0.089651 0.229210 0.615021 1.685808 4.583802 13.329596